Experimental. This is a plain poll average with intervals calibrated on past races, not an expert model. It was tested on only four past cycles (2018–2024), where it was no more accurate than simply using the latest poll: a typical race missed by about 5 points. Treat every number as rough. Candidate parties come from a table I typed in by hand from memory and have not checked against official filings, so some names, especially in House races, may be wrong.